Feb 3, 2025

Bitcoin Wins This Cycle: What To Do Next

The verdict is in: bitcoin is the winner of the 2025 crypto bull market.

Bitcoin dominance remains extremely elevated and is not coming down. Altcoin traders and investors are disenchanted by their lackluster performance against BTC compared to previous market cycles. Bitcoin is finally maturing into an overwhelming center of gravity that consolidates the entire crypto universe, leaving the fun, games, and speculation of rival blockchains behind. 

There are now two simple recipes for finding success in crypto: either bet on BTC, or on the ecosystem preparing to explode on top of it.

Bitcoin Eats The World:

Bitcoin's journey over the past two years has been nothing short of spectacular.

The network has not just held its ground but has significantly expanded its footprint across various sectors. Institutional adoption has reached unprecedented levels, with major financial players like BlackRock and Fidelity now offering Bitcoin spot ETFs, which have brought a new wave of capital into the market. 

These ETFs have not only provided a safer avenue for traditional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin but have also contributed to its market dominance by locking in supply. They’ve seen a unique success with institutional investors allowing BTC to pull ahead of other digital assets. 

Moreover, regulators and governments have shown a warming attitude toward Bitcoin. In the U.S., following Donald Trump's re-election, the administration is considering adopting Bitcoin as part of strategic reserves, which has further solidified Bitcoin's status as a dominant financial asset with untold growth ahead of it.

Countries like El Salvador have already set precedents by making Bitcoin legal tender, inspiring other nations to consider similar moves. Central banks, traditionally wary of cryptocurrencies, are now exploring how Bitcoin can fit into their monetary frameworks, with some even adding shares of MicroStrategy (MSTR) to their reserves. 

This institutional and governmental embrace has cemented Bitcoin's position, making it not just a speculative asset but a cornerstone of modern finance. Bitcoin's market cap continues to dwarf that of all other cryptocurrencies combined, showcasing its dominance in this bull run.

Altcoins Miss The Boat:

The narrative for altcoins in 2025 has been starkly different. The exuberance of past bull markets, where altcoins often outran Bitcoin in percentage gains, has been replaced by a sobering reality. This cycle has been dubbed the "hardest bull market" for altcoins, with many failing to capture the imagination and wallets of investors like before. 

According to on-chain analysts including James Check and TXMC, investors “front ran” this cycle into altcoins expecting a future rotation into smaller assets as BTC rose in price. However, much of this year’s demand has stemmed from institutions like MicroStrategy and BlackRock – investors not interested in an altcoin rotation.

Adding to the gloom, there's a palpable sense of financial nihilism among investors, a term popularized by Travis Kling's analysis and further elaborated by Murad Mahmudov’s thesis on meme coins. 

This nihilism reflects a deep-seated disillusionment with traditional financial systems and the promise of altcoins. Instead of investing in altcoins for their potential utility or innovation, many are now turning towards meme coins like Fartcoin or Trump coins, which burn bright and die fast, offering quick, speculative gains without the pretense of long-term investment value. 

This shift signifies a move away from the hopeful exuberance for altcoin ecosystems to a more cynical, gambling-like approach to crypto investment.

The Ethereum community has been particularly vocal about their frustrations. Despite Ethereum's fundamental upgrades and its role in DeFi and NFTs, its performance against Bitcoin has been lackluster. 

The sentiment among Ethereum enthusiasts has shifted from optimism to skepticism, as the ETH/BTC trading pair falls dramatically and fails to signal the kind of altcoin season many were hoping for. 

The broader altcoin market is witnessing a sell-off, with capital not cycling into altcoins as in previous cycles, but rather consolidating around Bitcoin. 

Bitcoin's rising tide hasn't lifted all boats this time. The underwhelming performance of altcoins, coupled with this pervasive financial nihilism has dampened the once vibrant altcoin community.

Get on the Ark With BitcoinOS:

In this Bitcoin-dominated landscape, altcoin enthusiasts must adopt a new strategy to adjust to this new, orange reality. They must buy into Bitcoin’s ecosystem, rather than betting against it.

A new suite of technologies is allowing for the development of applications, tokens, and services directly on or around Bitcoin's blockchain, utilizing its security and stability.

The most revolutionary of these technologies are being spearheaded by BitcoinOS (BOS), which uses ZK to allow Bitcoin to communicate with other blockchains. This is a major opportunity for the latter: by integrating BOS, altchains can become extensions/ application layers of Bitcoin itself, rather than separate and competing systems that work against it. 

To understand why this is attractive, consider the corporate world. Companies like MicroStrategy and BlackRock have seen massive success by deeply integrating Bitcoin into their business models, whether through strategic accumulation or offering investment products. 

This model can be extended to altcoins; those that "plug in" to Bitcoin might find themselves in a better position than those operating on independent blockchains.

Projects that provide scalability solutions, privacy enhancements, or new financial services on Bitcoin could ride the wave of Bitcoin's success. These could include sidechains, layer-2 solutions, or even third-party services that enhance Bitcoin's usability. The idea is to become an integral part of the "Bitcoin ecosystem," where innovation is now happening around Bitcoin rather than in opposition to it.

Cardano (ADA) has already experienced a taste of this. Upon the announcement in October that Cardano would focus on becoming a DeFi layer for Bitcoin using BitcoinOS, ADA’s price rose to 3X within one month!

The lesson here is clear: in this cycle, aligning with Bitcoin's trajectory might be the most viable path for altcoins to achieve growth. By focusing on enhancing or expanding Bitcoin's capabilities, these projects not only gain from Bitcoin's credibility but also from its increasing adoption and acceptance in the financial world.

In conclusion, as Bitcoin cements its place as the king of cryptocurrencies, the strategy for investors and developers alike should be to either directly invest in BTC or to seek out and support projects that enhance its ecosystem. 

Get on the Ark. Bitcoin is the foundation for the entire crypto market's future evolution, and its time to start acting like it.